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There is plenty of reason to welcome death. And be optimistic about its presence.

As Max Planck observed: "Science progresses one funeral at a time".

And really, the same can be said for political beliefs.

Humans are stubborn creatures that stratify power. Death has always been the great equalizer. But perhaps soon, no longer.



Science progresses because it makes a disciplined study of the world with numerical predictions that are checked for accuracy.

Politics is treated by most people as essentially a religion. And religion does not progress with death. It just cycles through periods of greater fundamentalism and less fundamentalism.

There aren't enough people studying political science and studying it rigorously enough for the Planck observation to apply.


That is a really naive epistemology. Science as an objective methodology that churns out truth doesn't exist. Its a human endeavor full of interests.

Religion is also a human endeavor full of interests, and can also ascertain certain truths. Often people who subscribe to scientism gloat that even in the farthest reaches of space, other aliens will arrive at the same equations. Similarly, I think at the farthest reaches of space aliens will have to reckon with wickedness, duty, hospitality, forgiveness, etc. It can even make numerical predictions like "there will always be the poor". So far so true.


This is just a bunch of cold-war style anti-science critique stuff. It's frankly not worth responding to.

There are reasonable things to say about science, but the anti-objectivity bit was an attempt to undermine science and reduce opposition to political rule by fiat. The rise in authoritarian rhetoric and beliefs is why we're seeing the anti-science and anti-expert ideas become fashionable again.

Notice that the anti-expert/anti-intellectual/anti-science people always have something else they're selling you that conflicts with the experts/intellectuals/science.

Anyway, good luck.


This isn't an anti-science critique. It's a philosophical argument about how science actually operates. I'm not coming at this from a populist authoritarian angle! (Literally my views were influenced by Feyerabend, an academic and leftist anarchist)

The tobacco-funded studies that failed to prove cigarettes harmful? Those were scientists doing "objective methodology." Pharmaceutical companies suppressing unfavorable trials? Scientists. The replication crisis? Scientists following the same process.

These aren't exceptions. They show that science is a human practice embedded in institutional and economic contexts.

Acknowledging that science involves human interests doesn't undermine it. It's how you maintain critical perspective when bad actors claim scientific authority. Or should I trust the current experts that Tylenol causes Autism?


I agree. People stop changing their mind at some point. Social progress is only possible when old generations die. To think scientists are some sort of truth seeking machines, unbiased, isolated from society, is naive.

Also I really dislike the categorisation into scientists and non-scientists, this really makes science sound like a dogma. I prefer inventors, pioneers, or simply curious people.


Or do people stop changing their minds because they're worn down, their brains no longer as capable of making space and joy for new ideas?

Which these stem cells, if they pan out, very specifically fix


Possible, but many concepts and principles are frozen by the age of 30 already.

I have never seen someone which is left on the political spectrum at 30 become a Keynesian by 50.

I know such people exist, but they are the exception.

Personality psychology shows personality does not change much after 30.

And there is even some theories such as the “impressionable years” (15-25) which are even more extreme in that respect, stating that basically very little changes after 25.

Overall this makes me doubt stem cells can change any of this.

But I am myself way past my impressionable years, my mental flexibility is lessened, I may be wrong and not open to new ideas.

It would feel sad though, having civilisation lead by the same people over hundreds of years if not more, somewhat stratified, predictable, dull.


> (Literally my views were influenced by Feyerabend, an academic and leftist anarchist)

Sigh this is the most annoying thing on the internet. It's like every online debate a leftist post-structuralist has to say "nuh uh actually everything is relative because it's all about structure and there's no objective truth man." It's a lazy critique. You can aim post-structuralist critique at literally anything. You're right, science is an artifact of the society it's in, and actually society is based on the Wim Hof breathing technique so really science is in service of Wim Hof Breathing. You can't argue with me because everything is relative and based on structures and Wim Hof breathing is the root of all social structure.

If you're going to trot out a post-structuralist critique, build an alternate theory, don't just pick an argument apart. I'm hardly the first person to note this continental Leftist weakness. Zizek has written about this extensively. I don't need to believe in Soviet conspiracy theories to think your argument is weak.


Zero disagreement. I will only add that I am patiently waiting for transmetropolitcan prediction of postneoredereconstructionism to become true.


> These aren't exceptions.

It's furious cherry picking. The scientific consensus is that cigarettes are harmful, the globe is warming, Tylenol DOES NOT cause autism, etc.


> Feyerabend, an academic and leftist anarchist)

Yes that was obvious in your first post.

Feyerabend was writing during the cold war and was influenced by Marx (an authoritarian) and Marxist critiques of science promoted by the Soviets at the time. You get the same threads running through people like Kuhn and Popper.

The backdrop of these ideas is that the authoritarian Soviet state wanted to undermine faith in science within the US for the same reason it wanted to undermine democracy. They also wanted to promote the idea of alternative views of science at home because Soviet science was constrained by needing to be consistent with Marx. These ideas percolated for a few decades as propaganda before people like Feyerabend gussied them up and tried to publish them as academic works.


This is ahistorical conspiracy theory.

First, state communists kill anarchists. That's history.

Second, the Soviets were incredibly dogmatic about science because they used it to justify their materialist ideology. They promoted Lysenkoism (fake genetics) to conform to Marxist doctrine. That's literally the opposite of epistemological questioning.

Third, claiming Kuhn and Popper were Soviet mouthpieces is unhinged. Popper wrote "The Open Society and Its Enemies" as an anti-communist text. Kuhn taught at Harvard, MIT, and Princeton. They were Western academics, not agents.

You've gone from defending naive scientism to claiming anyone who critiques it is a communist propagandist. That's McCarthyism, not an argument.


No, it's not. Like I said this isn't worth responding to, but people who actually look into the history will understand what I'm saying.

The problem you're facing is you don't believe in any sort of objective reality so you're acting as if ideas are about which team you're on instead of how they relate to the truth.


Whoever you are imagining has nothing to do with me. Enjoy debating your spooky stalinist strawmen.


The difference between you and me is I've focused on what you've written and you've called me every name in the book despite not knowing what you're talking about.

We see your other posts where you're asking why murdering your enemies isn't okay and promoting conspiracy theories. I don't have to imagine who you are, you've told us.


"This is just a bunch of cold-war style anti-science critique stuff. It's frankly not worth responding to."

This is, ironically, an absurd echo of every autocrat's self-defense. "It is just the commies/right-wingers who hate our Dear Leader and want to undermine his benevolent authority for their own nefarious purposes."

Scientists are humans, prone to every vice that plagues humanity: jealousy, lust for power, greed, willingness to bend data to make their theory work, plagiarism, and, lately, blatant misuse of AI without even acknowledging it aloud.

The scientific community absolutely needs both internal self-policing, external policing, and mechanisms that limit abuse of power by the elders against their subordinates, or it will lose the necessary integrity and thus also any trust of the outsiders.

If you deny this, you basically deny humanity of everyone involved. And I say this as a former young scientist with a PhD from algebra. I have seen enough, with my own eyes.


I just want to draw everyone's attention to the fact that you're saying science needs a lot of policing to keep it in line. The rest is just rhetoric.


Science needs exactly as much policing as every other human activity: airlines, accounting, agriculture etc.

I have no problem with you "drawing everyone's attention" to the fact that I think so. Indeed I consider the above to be self-evident, because humans aren't angels.

Maybe you confuse policing with censorship or political pressure? That is not the same thing.

"The rest is just rhetoric."

Nope, you just prefer to ignore the 800 pound gorilla in the room whose name is "replication crisis". Partly caused by outright fraud.


By definition things that are true are science and things that have no evidence are religion.


That understanding of what science is, in its de facto form of practice to date, is remarkably ungrounded from the history of science.


Nope it's remarkably consistent with the history of science, which I've studied pretty extensively.


do you have any result of this study, like an essay or a video? Would be curious to read too


It's even worse than that. When people who have experience die, new people arise to repeat their mistakes. Witness the NYC mayoral race.


When I think of repeated mistakes, I think of populists embracing fascism.


There's no shortage of mistakes to support the counterargument to the proposition that the death of experience is the best path to a better world.


This just sounds like rationalization to me, just-so stories we tell ourselves to feel better about something we can't change anyway, so isn't it lucky that everything is perfect just the way it is!

I think it's nonsense. Society is the way it is because of the prevailing conditions. We haven't really had to deal with getting rid of dead wood in science because death always did that anyway, if death goes away then we'll just adapt. That witticism from Planck is just an observation of the times, not some universal, uh, constant.

> There is plenty of reason to welcome death

Maybe we should welcome it even faster then! If death speeds up science so much, then maybe society shouldn't provide health care to scientists at all. In fact maybe we should euthanize all scientists at age 50 - or earlier. Right?


Ask yourself if most older people reliably update their beliefs as the world changes.

If the answer is "No, they don't," then it follows that part of progress is newer generations moving into positions of authority and bringing their new ideas with them.


Yes. Older people are much more flexible as they have had to adopt new thinking, been exposed to much more new ideas, realized the mistakes dogmatic young them did. Young people seem much more rigid and dogmatic to their much shorter held and therefore often much lesser informed positions.


Part of curing aging would be restoring youthful brain characteristics such as openness to change. Which honestly seems like a small and easy task when compared to the whole endeavor of curing aging.


It's not that old people are not open to change, they just very reasonably disregard all the bullshit that contradicts their experience. To achieve plasticity of beliefs people will have to forget stuff.

Which closes the circle, nature already invented all that: your kids are a version of you that's free from both the baggage of harmful mutations and the baggage of harmful presuppositions.

Not at all clear to me why we want to reinvent an inferior version of this process, it works remarkably well.


> Not at all clear to me why we want to reinvent an inferior version of this process, it works remarkably well.

That sounds like something that someone who is not open to change would say.


Absolutely. Progress is a delicate balance of accepting change and being conservative.

Not all change is worth accepting, but if I'm wrong about this one my death will eventually put an end to me being wrong.


That's an inversion of Pascal's wager. Pascal says if I'm right about this my death will reward me, therefore I believe, and you've come up with if I'm wrong about this my death will criticise me, therefore I believe.


Do you agree with the Pascal's wager then? I don't and if mine is an inversion, I don't see a problem with it.

It's not scary to make a mistake if any decision you make is temporary anyhow. Knowing that I die no matter what I do with my life gives me so much more freedom in how I can live it.


I think it's the same kind of idea, because it shuts down any duty to worry about whether you are right. You get to be a dogmatist, since dogmatists die eventually.

The second sentence deserves some response, but I don't know what to make of it. Mistakes are good, surely? More mistakes faster. Well, I suppose you mean something like life-ruining mistakes, but in the first place I'm not sure there really can be any - unless you have a low threshold for "ruined" - and in the second place, immortality gives you endless hope of staging a comeback.


I don't really see an issue with it either, though it depends on what exactly you mean by a dogmatist.

Literally everyone operates within some framework of unprovable dogmas to be able to tell good from evil and to decide how to act. Accepting that fact is a IMO a better path than striving for some sort of non-existent objective skepticism (but that's only better within my framework of what better is, of course).

And surely I worry whether I'm right, and all the time. It's just that when I worry and estimate the expected value of my decisions, I don't get NaNs and INFs. My life is not infinitely valuable to me, engaging in activities that involve possible loss of my life is often a good decision because the upside is good. That's largely true because I die anyway, I'm not sure the same calculations would hold if I were immortal.

UPD to respond to the second part that was added later

> Well, I suppose you mean something like life-ruining mistakes, but in the first place I'm not sure there really can be any - unless you have a low threshold for "ruined" - and in the second place, immortality gives you endless hope of staging a comeback.

It's remarkably easy to ruin your life by dying or getting a permanent disability. Would you climb a mountain with a risk of avalanches and rockfalls if you were otherwise immortal? Even commuting to work by bicycle becomes questionable, chances of getting hit by a car on a crossing are pretty high compared to taking the metro.


I almost completely disagree with "everyone operates within some framework of unprovable [moral] dogmas", but I don't completely disagree. I think the potential for mind-changing debate about moral matters - some of it inexplicit, but still rational - is enormous: and that the dogmatic cores of almost everyone's moral worldviews are, in modern times, practically identical, or close enough to be compatible.

More to the point, you can refrain from being unnecessarily dogmatic. As I'm sure you do really. But that means anticipation of death, to wipe out your ideas, shouldn't diminish your will to filter them through argument or thought. It just acts as a safety mechanism against your possibly losing your grip on rationality and becoming an intransigent old nuisance, I suppose.

So the second point is that self-sacrifice is less expensive for the mortal. I guess that could be seen as a rather cold fact that a mortal person is less valuable. But immortal people could be hindered by being all neurotic about risks to their lives, if that even is how we make decisions about self-sacrifice and mortal danger (however mild - germs?) ... but I suspect that isn't a calculation we'd do, even if immortal. I suspect the basis for these decisions is something different. This makes me scratch my head, I may come back to it.

...OK, ready. This is really about a certain puzzle to which immortality is irrelevant, which is: how can we take risks at all? If you cross the street you might lose your life, and since that's everything you've got, the cost is infinitely large, so you can never cross the street.

There are numerous tangents to go on from there. If you're being objective, your value is your ideas, your relationships, and your potential to have future ideas. With the last in mind, maybe immortality does change the calculation? Maybe risk-taking for mortal people should increase with age. Well, we do tend to self-sacrifice in a crisis, and to save children preferentially (though I'm not sure why future potential should trump existing ideas in a person). And there's this "I've lived a full life, I'll be the one" trope, which really means "I'm nearly dead already, so I'm expendable." And sure, immortal people can't say that. But that doesn't have bearing on how young people can complete routine life goals such as crossing the street.

You could also claim that a decision like deciding to stay in bed is risky in itself, and that we take risky actions in order to minimize risk. But I don't think that's truly the normal way to operate.

The main thing is, we do decide to take risks somehow. We know that decision paralysis is bad: we're morally opposed to it. And this would remain true even if we were immortal and were risking the loss of much longer lives. Mortal or not, we risk all we've got, all the time, by living lives. The difference is only in an extreme self-sacrifice situation, where relative to one other younger person an immortal person would feel less disposable than an old mortal might.


> In fact maybe we should euthanize all scientists at age 50 - or earlier. Right?

I understand you're trying to perform reductio ad absurdum but I would like to point out that the proposition is less absurd than you make out.

E.g. if Ancel Keys died at 50 then health risks of sugar consumption would have been accepted by the scientific community decades earlier saving tens of millions of lives. I certainly don't suggest to euthanize anyone however I'm glad he died eventually. In fact I'm glad everyone dies eventually me included.


So you advocate a traditional, orderly, socially acceptable form of killing everybody, by maintaining traditional death against possible ways to overcome it.


Correct


It's got a certain appeal, but I'm undecided. Will I be allowed to opt out?


It's a bit far, but I think countries and societies will be split around this question if or when such a technology comes. You'll definitely find a place to opt out, I would stick/move to a country where immortality is illegal.

Now if my world model is correct, the immortal societies will see a decline akin to the Byzantine empire (which never actually declined, just progressed slower than it's neighbors). As the result they will either succumb and integrate into their mortal counterparts or perhaps continue existing like some sort of native tribal reservations. If I'm wrong, the inverse will happen.

In the end the more effective and stable socioeconomic model wins because it's the only thing that matters in the long run. It may take a while to reach the equilibrium though.


Very good! This sounds groovy, let the competition pan out how it will.


I don’t know where I saw that number, but supposedly the mean age of an immortal human will be 500 years due to accidents. True immortality is not a thing.


Maybe 500 years by today's behavioral standards. I assume that if people were told you could live ~forever barring an accident leading to your death, many people in society would behave VERY differently. The risk profile of you or me getting in a car to drive to the store is VERY different than someone with age-and-sickness-proof-but-accident-vulnerable immortality.


Incidentally this is one reason why people in the past seemed braver than now and did crazier things. When your life expectancy is 25, you take a lot more risks.


It also increases the cost of martyrdom.


mind uploading and backups


Science might progress faster if people can spend hundreds of years becoming experts in multiple fields.


> There is plenty of reason to welcome death.

Only when painfully ill, this reverses old age symptoms correlated with some of those painful conditions.

> As Max Planck observed: "Science progresses one funeral at a time".

If the aphorism was causally true, Spanish Flu, the Nazi's death camps, and Pol Pot's Cambodia would've created a lot more science than they did.

Even for politics: the Holodomor didn't end Stalin; the deaths in WW1 didn't change the world order enough to prevent WW2.


You don't understand the aphorism if you think that death in itself causes scientific progress.

It means something else. When old, entrenched scientists die, they lose their ability to prevent younger scientists from studying topics they personally don't like. Dead people cannot deny the living use of labs, grants etc.

Plenty of otherwise impeccable great minds died "stuck" on bad ideas. For example, the great German pathologist Rudolf Virchow utterly rejected the idea of archaic humans existing, and did his best to slow down the research on the Neanderthals etc.

Einstein himself rejected the quantum theory, though, to his credit, he didn't prevent others from studying it.

Ancel Keys, who lived to be almost 100, tried to destroy career of every nutritional scientist who toyed with the idea that saturated fats may not be the killers he pronounced them to be, and defended sugar from more scrutiny.


I distrust aphorisms, not without having read the literature on the evidence or lack thereof behind the aphorism.

For example: History is written by the winner.

Certainly not true on its face. The South managed to convince people that the confederacy cause was noble. It certainly wasn't. They managed to reshape popular narrative.


History is written by the winner. does not mean that everybody trusts what is written by the winner. It has also become somewhat weaker in the era of digital communication, when censorship of sources becomes harder.

"The South managed to convince people that the confederacy cause was noble. "

A certain percentage of people will believe in anything. Putin is a virtuous peacemaker, Nazis didn't murder people in industrial ovens, Stalin was a good person, the American Civil War wasn't about slavery, you name it.

That still does not negate the overall observation expressed in the aphorism: winners have a lot more clout when determining how the war will be seen by future generations. The percentage of Confederacy supporters in the Western civilization is fairly small. They may be visible, but the vast majority of the Western population, to the extent that they think of ACW at all, don't support the cause of continuing enslavement of blacks.

Anyway, aphorisms shouldn't be treated like mathematical theorems. Their validity isn't as "hard" as that of maths, but in human society, nothing is. Aphorisms are the sort of model which is "wrong, but sometimes useful".


Anyway, aphorisms shouldn't be treated like mathematical theorems. Their validity isn't as "hard" as that of maths, but in human society, nothing is. Aphorisms are the sort of model which is "wrong, but sometimes useful".

I am not treating them as mathematical statement, I just don't take it for granted that these "aphorism" are in fact historical truth.

Cursory search of "winners write history" already reveal to me a far more complex and nuanced reality. Indeed, such a statement is considered harmful.


If (and to the extent that) the aphorism isn't causal, then it is irrelevant to a hypothetical where we solve death.


You still don't understand what is being said, and what precisely is the line of causality there.

Maybe someone else can explain it better than I can.


there's no need to understand it, as being healthy well after being alive for hundreds of years would incentivize a lot of people to do more with their life than clutching their academic pearls.

even if not, the aphorism is not a necessity. scientific progress is a very soft thing anyway in most fields (medicine for example), and just because nowadays when the old guard dies off a new paradigm takes over doesn't necessarily mean that were the old guard alive there wouldn't be paradigm shifts!

simply accumulating the necessary data to convincingly be able to claim that the new model is better takes decades ... which conveniently coincidences with some old dog dying.

sure, likely if the old guard would be alive for a few more decades maybe they would insist on even more convincing data.

but that would at least help us to have better science!

and no one is prohibited from exploring applications of the new models before they became de facto dogma!

... and so on.

most of the time progress is limited by methods (data collection, precision - repeatability, and of course replicability), but those are usually limited by engineering, culture, funding, etc.

see the whole story with Alzheimer's and the first mouse model problem, and the failed clinical trials of various treatments, and ... despite all this how still we have no better idea, despite decades of effort!

https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/in-defense-of-the-amyloid-h...

https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/your-review-of-mice-mechani...


code reviews could go much quicker...




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